A chapter on estimation techniques has appeared in the edited volume Regression Analysis and Causal Inference, edited by Henning Best and Christof Wolf and published by Sage. A companion website is here.
Estimates (or more correctly: predictions) of parties’ positions in multiple dimensions in different countries, spanning the decades from 1945 (1920 for the USA) to 2010 is now available here on my website. The data are available in csv-format as summaries of the posterior distribution (means, standard deviations and 95 percent prediction intervals) and as draws… [read more]
A paper entitled “Separating Tactical from Sincere Voting: A Finite-Mixture Discrete-Choice Modelling Approach” was presented at the Annual Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association 2014 in Chicago, Ill. It presents a novel approach to uncover tactical voting from responses in electoral survey studies. The basic idea is that the distribution of observed voting decisions… [read more]
A paper entitled “Information Flows, Expectation Formation, and Tactical Voting” was presented at the ECPR General Conference 2013 at the Université de Bordeaux. It examines how results in the previous election (at constituency level) and parties’ current popularity (as expressed in their performance in opinion polls) influence the formation of expectations about parties’ chances at… [read more]
A paper entitled “On the Distinctiveness of Party Families” was presented at the 2014 General Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association. In this paper I describe the average positions (and the development of these) of the party families commonly known in the comparative study of European parties. In this paper I distinguish between three… [read more]
A paper on “A Dynamic State-Space Model of Coded Political Texts” has been published as advance access article in Political Analysis. Accompanying this article, there is a data set with positions of parties in the economic and social policy spaces, reconstructed from Comparative Manifestos Project data using the method in the article. The data set… [read more]
A new version of my memisc package is available on this website and hopefully soon on CRAN. The following changes were made since the last patchlevel of the previous version: 2013-01-26: Included getSummary methods for objects of classes “ivreg”, “tobit” (from package “AER”), “hurdle”, “zeroinfl” (from package “pscl”), “betareg” (from package “betareg”), “multinom” (from package… [read more]
From September 2012 I will be working as Akademischer Rat at the Department of Political and Administrative Science of the University of Konstanz.
An article about “Bounded volatility in the Dutch electoral battlefield: A panel study on the structure of changing vote intentions in the Netherlands during 2006–2010″ is now available for advance access from the journal Acta Politica (if you/your library have a journal subscription).
I have uploded a paper I am presenting at panel 38-4 “Placing Actors in the Policy Space” of the Annual Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association (MPSA), 12-15 April in Chicago. The paper should be available at the Conference Website here. If it is not, a local copy can be found here.
A new patchlevel of my memisc package is available on this website and hopefully soon on CRAN. The following changes were made since the last patchlevel: 2012-02-14: Replaced calls to .Internal(sample()) by calls to sample.int() and eliminated call to .Internal(int.unzip()). The package now depends on R >= 2.9.0 2012-01-25: Fixed reading of value labels from… [read more]
I just wrapped up version 0.2-3 of my mclogit package, which corrects some issues with the standard errors. It should soon appear on CRAN. For the time being there is a version available from this website.